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Saturday, January 1, 2011

Where bin laden is....

CNN
(stating what is probably the most obvious headline ever broadcast)

Parachinar,  is the capital of Kurram Agency, FATA (Federally Administered Tribal Areas) of Pakistan. It is about 290 km west of the capital, Islamabad. It is situated on a neck of Pakistani territory south of Peshawar, that juts into Paktia Province in Afghanistan and is the closest point in Pakistan to Kabul and borders on the Tora Bora region in Afghanistan. In 2009 it was alleged to be the hiding place of Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.
As the floods in Pakistan stopped many locals and insurgents from travelling on the washed out pathways the American government used this time to increase the drone attacks.  The focus on North Waziristan is a good indicator where the CIA and other intel groups think top al Queda and Taliban leadership is in hiding.

Osama bin Laden seems to be in this area and over the next few months we will probably keep seeing these types of drone attacks.





Estimated Total Deaths from U.S. Drone Strikes in Pakistan, 2004 - 2011


 Deaths (low) Deaths (high)
2011*1518
2010591985
2009413709
2008263296
2004-200786109
Total1,3722,125
 *Through January 1, 2011

Estimated Militant Deaths from U.S. Drone Strikes in Pakistan 2004 - 2011

 Deaths (low) Deaths (high)
2011*1518
2010569927
2009293405
2008106134
2004-200778100
Total1,0611,584
*Through January 1, 2011

Estimated Militant Leader Deaths from US Drone Strikes in Pakistan, 2004-2011

2011--
201012
200910
200811
2004-20073
Total36
*Through January 1, 2011. Included in estimated militants and estimated totals, above.



Militant leaders killed

2010 (12)

  • December 17, 2010: Ibne Amin, al-Qaeda linked Swat Taliban commander (The News)

    • December 17, 2010: Ali Marjan, local LeI commander (CNNET)

    •  

    • September 25 or 26, 2010: Sheikh al-Fateh, AQ chief in Afghanistan and Pakistan (BBC,GeoAFPReuters)

    •  

    • September 14, 2010: Saifullah, Siraj Haqqani’s cousin (Dawn/AFP)

    •  

    • June 29, 2010: Hamza al-Jufi, AQ commander (NYT)

    •  

    • May 22-23, 2010: Mustafa Abu al-Yazid (FP)

    •  

    • March 8, 2010: Sadam Hussein Al Hussami, also known as Ghazwan Al-Yemeni, al-Qaeda planner and explosives expert with contacts in AQAP and Afghan and Pakistani Taliban (AP)

    •  
    • February 24, 2010: Mohammad Qari Zafar, Taliban commander wanted in 2006 Karachi consulate bombing
    • February 17, 2010: Sheikh Mansoor, Egyptian-Canadian al-Qaeda leader
    • February 15, 2010: Abdul Haq al-Turkistani, al-Qaeda linked leader of a group called the Turkistani Islamic Party
    • January 9, 2010: Jamal Saeed Abdul Rahim, wanted for his alleged role in the 1986 hijacking of Pan American World Airways flight during a stop in the southern Pakistani city of Karachi (BBCAPAsian Tribune) [Author note: BBC says he “died” on Jan. 9, AP says he was killed by a drone on Jan. 9, and Asian Tribune says he died in the strike on Ismail Khel, which happened on Jan. 10 as per AFP, AP, CNN, Dawn, Times of India, and Geo.]
    • Early January, 2010: Mahmud Mahdi Zeidan, Jordanian Taliban commander, bodyguard of Mustafa Abu al-Yazid

Strikes by Target

Target2004-20072008200920102011Total 
Taliban6142442288
Baitullah Mehsud (not Taliban generally)0116n/an/a17
Al Qaeda51110** 8034
Haqqani19416030
Unclear/Other04468177

*Count is more than the number of strikes in some cases because some targets fell into multiple categories.

**Saad bin Laden, one of Osama bin Laden’s sons, was reported killed by a drone in 2009 sometime before July 22, 2009, but it’s unknown exactly when, so he is included in the targeting as al Qaeda but not in one of the individual entries in 2009. [Author note: Saad bin Laden was reported alive in December 2009 by his brother, Omar.]

This study carries a Creative Commons license, which permits re-use of New America content when proper attribution is provided.  Peter Bergen and Katherine Tiedemann's drones database at the New America Foundation.

http://counterterrorism.newamerica.net/drones

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